Could we have seen the Corona virus and the lockdown coming? Could we predict that it would change the way of working together and doing business? Can we actually see everything coming in advance and prepare for major events. Yes we certainly can. Indeed, there is a way to prepare well in advance for events that you thought would never happen. Through a workshop I show you what can happen and we work together on solutions. Prevention is often quite difficult, but you can think about it and even have plans on the shelf in case something does happen.
Register for this Black Swan workshop and learn and see what a difference it can make. Dare to look further when it comes to the annoying things that could happen. Prepare your organization for the things you hope will never occur.
The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalised after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. The term is based on an ancient saying that presumed black swans did not exist – a saying that became reinterpreted to teach a different lesson after black swans were discovered in the wild.
The theory was developed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb to explain:
- The disproportionate role of high-profile, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance, and technology.
- The non-computability of the probability of the consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities).
- The psychological biases that blind people, both individually and collectively, to uncertainty and to a rare event’s massive role in historical affairs.